J
2023
Coffee as an Identifier of Inflation in Selected US Agglomerations
VOCHOZKA, Marek, Svatopluk JANEK a Zuzana ROWLAND
Základní údaje
Originální název
Coffee as an Identifier of Inflation in Selected US Agglomerations
Vydání
Forecasting, Švýcarsko, MDPI, 2023, 2571-9394
Další údaje
Typ výsledku
Článek v odborném periodiku
Obor
50200 5.2 Economics and Business
Stát vydavatele
Švýcarsko
Utajení
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Kód RIV
RIV/75081431:_____/23:00002546
Organizační jednotka
Vysoká škola technická a ekonomická v Českých Budějovicích
Klíčová slova anglicky
coffee price; CPI; time series; Pearson r; SARIMA model
V originále
The research goal presented in this paper was to determine the strength of the relationship between the price of coffee traded on ICE Futures US and Consumer Price Indices in the major urban agglomerations of the United States—New York, Chicago, and Los Angeles—and to predict the future development. The results obtained using the Pearson correlation coefficient confirmed a very close direct correlation (r = 0.61 for New York and Chicago; r = 0.57 for Los Angeles) between the price of coffee and inflation. The prediction made using the SARIMA model disrupted the mutual correlation. The price of coffee is likely to anchor at a new level where it will fluctuate; on the other hand, the CPIs showed strong unilateral pro-growth trends. The results could be beneficial for the analysis and creation of policies and further analyses of market structures at the technical level.
Zobrazeno: 25. 12. 2024 14:01